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We Are All Intelligence Officers Now

Thoughtful and thought-provoking speech from Dan Geer at RSA this year. Speaks to the cyber challenges arising from our rapidly growing complexities and dependencies.  Long and well worth the read.  A few choice quotes:

But from the point of view of prediction, what matters is the ratio of skill to challenge; as far as I can estimate, we are expanding the society-wide attack surface faster than we are expanding our collection of tools, practices and colleagues…..So it is with cyber risk management: Whether in detection, control, or prevention, we are notching personal bests, but all the while the opposition is setting world records.”

Above some threshold of system complexity, it is no longer possible to test, it is only possible to react to emergent behavior.

We Are All Intelligence Officers Now